Research Article: Analysis of elite soccer players’ performance before and after signing a new contract

Date Published: January 25, 2019

Publisher: Public Library of Science

Author(s): Miguel-Ángel Gómez, Carlos Lago, María-Teresa Gómez, Philip Furley, Jaime Sampaio.


The aim of the current study was to analyse performance differences of football players 2-years prior and the year after signing a new contract (the following year) while taking playing position, nationality, player’s role, team ability, and age into account. The sample was comprised of 249 players (n = 109 defenders, n = 113 midfielders; and n = 27 forwards) from four of the major European Leagues (Bundesliga, English FA Premier League, Ligue 1, and La Liga) during the seasons 2008 to 2015. The dependent variables studied were: shooting accuracy, defense (the sum of defensive actions, tackles, blocks, and interceptions), yellow cards, red cards, passing accuracy, tackle success, and minutes played per match. Two-step cluster analysis allowed classifying the sample into three groups of defenders (national important, foreign important, and less important players) and four groups of midfielders and forwards (national important, foreign important, national less important, and foreign less important players). Magnitude Based Inference (MBI) was used to test the differences between player’s performances during the years of analyses. The main results (very likely and most likely effects) showed better performance in the year prior to signing a new contract than the previous year for foreign important defenders (decreased number of red cards), national important midfielders (increased number of minutes played), foreign important forwards (increased minutes played and defense), and national important forwards (increased minutes played). In addition, performance was lower the year after signing the contract compared to the previous one for less important defenders (decreasing defense), national less important midfielders (decreased minutes played), and foreign less important forwards (decreased defense). On the other hand, the players showed better performance in defense and more minutes played the year after signing the contract for less important defenders, national less important midfielders, and foreign less important forwards. These results may assist coaches to decide on when a new contract should be signed or the duration of the contract.

Partial Text

Incentives are known to play a substantial role in a person’s performance. An important incentive in professional football is signing a lucrative contract. While performance analysis in football has focused on numerous variables in explaining performance, there is limited knowledge on the impact of the time of signing a contract in football. Previous research on performance analysis in football has investigated the players’ performance from an individual point of view attending to physical demands [1] and technical and tactical indicators [2] according to different performance levels [3], playing positions [4–5], players’ role as starters or non-starters [6], the evolution of physical and technical parameters [7–8] or performance variability [9]. However, a limitation of this previous research has been to neglect a long-term analysis of a player’s individual performance [10]. Of further relevance to the present research, Mackenzie and Cushion [11] have argued that research on performance analysis should identify long term constraints on an individual’s performance which can be used to improve a player’s recruitment policies and to control for social-cultural (e.g., foreign/ national, top elite leagues) influences that impact players’ performance during their careers.

The descriptive results (means and standard deviations), the repeated measures ANOVA, and Friedman tests results of the variables studied for defenders according to the player’s characteristics during the years prior to the end of their contract and immediately after signing a new contract are presented in Table 3. The repeated measures tests showed significant differences (p<0.05) of red cards for important national defenders, yellow cards and minutes played for less important defenders, and defense for foreign important defenders. The aim of the present study was to analyse differences in performance of individual football players depending on the previous (2-years) and the later year after signing or renegotiating a new contract, while taking player-related characteristics into account (age, role in the team as important or less important, nationality, and team’s ability). This approach enabled to gain a better understanding of the effects of signing a new contract over consecutive seasons. In contrast to the common perception among sports fans that players become lazy and expend less effort once they have signed a long-term contract [18], or conversely start to deliver better performances in order to reach a promising bargaining position in the last season before the contract expires, the present results do not provide clear support for this hypothesis. In this respect the present findings are not supportive of previous studies reporting evidence for a relationship between performance and contract duration in sports in general [21–23] and specifically in soccer [13,14, 24–27]. From a player’s recruitment or renovation perspective, the performance displayed during the past or the following seasons before or after a new contract can help managers and coaches to decide when a new contract should be signed, the duration of the contract or the salary of the player. While previous work [12–13] might be indicative of having short term contracts for players and waiting until the last year before a contract runs out to resign a player, the present results do not support this reasoning. On the contrary, players sometimes increased performance after signing a new contract.   Source:


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